Martin Armstrong

[onlooker]

Two freaky correct calls by Martin Armstrong?

From Martin Armstrong’s article dated November 7, 2009 with the title GOLD

Page 14

For now, there appears to be monthly turning points due in November 2009 and April 2010.  If gold were to make a new heights after November (US$1,226 oz in December) , than we could except a rally going into April 16th, 2010 or so where we would reach a temporary top at the Primary Channel top.

If we see a decline going into April, this could lead to a very explosive rally with a rally into October 2010.

It does appear that the BIG change in trend may be in October /November 2010 with a 12 month trend thereafter.  An Oct/Nov’10 low would profit to an explosive rally for the follow year & vice versa.

http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/GOLD-5000-11-11-09.pdf

~   ~   ~

The weak dollar induced emerging economies to diversify their dollar reserves with gold, propelling gold prices to a historic high of US$1226 an ounce at the start of December.

http://www.plastemart.com/upload/literature/volatility-polymer-prices-reduces-in-2009-year-recovery-amid-economic-prudence.asp

[sidewinder]

You can get about everything Marty has written while in prison here

http://www.martinarmstrong.org/economic_projections.htm


The latest stuff is copies of handwritten letters because he was put in "the hole" for helping aome other guy do a writ or something.  It's really kind of a sad set of circumstances the guy is in and you can see it in some of his writings.  I like his mention of the "Chart of the Century" as I have put a couple of opinion on this chart on my blog.  BTM Martin thinks the chart is valid and only the guy from Casey Research de-bunks the way the data is presented and what it implies.

http://sidewindersview.blogspot.com/

[jjj000]

the last two sentences pretty much sums it all up in pretty clear logic -- borrowing to build yields positive results, while borrowing to keep alive yields failure.

Not much you can dispute there.

[sidewinder]

The thing I like most about Marty is he makes you think.  His latest thoughts "Paradox of solutions" like many others contain many lessons in historic reasons for today.  The concept of the future must be the only reason for money, and what is money anyway.  Nothing more than a promise of the future. 

Too many times, in fact almost everything you hear or read today is so hung up in the "Process" one can hardly define the "goal". 

http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/The-Paradox-of-Solution-4-18-10.pdf

[MetalMeister]

SW,

Maybe we should have the Martin Armstrong discussion over here?

I read it.

Twice.

And I fear that I did not get enough out of it.  Feeling a little stupid here.

Usually I understand MA but this time I am not, really.

I understand what he saying about arbitrage in silver.  Reminds me of the Yen Carry Trade in some respects.  Go get something in this country, cheaper, sell in another country, higher, and you make plenty of profit.

After reading that I am not clear as to Current Account and Capital Account and what the real flow of money into and out of countries' impact is.

Maybe it all above my pay grade?

Please help if you can.  

[MetalMeister]

SW,  I again moved the Martin Armstrong comments over here on the thread that JDH started.

I read it yesterday and I find a lot of it hard for me to grasp.  I wish the graphs were easier to read.  Obviously, someone on the outside takes this and puts it on the internet.  I wish they would take the graphs and redo them nicely!

It's almost as if they are made intentionally to look like things were done in prison...

I am very suspicious by nature!

The one thing I wondered about from almost the beginning is his attack on fundamental analysis for stock picking.  He starts by saying that we are in a global economy and one has to know a huge amount about what is going on in the world, and he refers to what he had that was a massive database for trends etc, then he launches into the gold business and gives all of his technical analysis of over a century of gold but hardly says anything about what is going on in the world related to the predictions of what he sees gold doing in the future.

I'm not comfortable leaving out the world economic dynamics on trying to guess what gold will do in the near term.

What are you thoughts?

Armstrong's latest paper is focused on gold.  He has not put out anything for over a month which is unusual and I was concerned about that.  There is a lot going on in his case now and there is hope he will be released in March 2011 but that remains to be seen.  Read the last page of the PDF first to understand what has been happening to him. 
Enjoy
http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/Gold%20an%2011%20Year%20High%20for%202010%2009-17-2010.pdf

[sidewinder]

I think the charts are just photocopied from his original book and he merely rehashes what I have heard him say before.  I agree he is a little bit difficult to follow sometimes with the numbers.  Mostly it is just common technical analysis, the the numbers used are mostly previous lows and highs and he uses lots of trend line and channels from highs to lows.  when one starts talking about these things they are complicated for some and then you begin to look a several time frames such as monthly, yearly and weekly closes it can become overwhelming for anyone not use to doing this on a daily basis. 

I have considered the "gaming" possibilities and the nature of the articles finding their way to us.  However, I do somewhat understand what he is saying and generally am in agreement with his writing. As I'm sure you understand this is all opinion only as no one can predict the future.  In the end the only person responsible for one's trade results is the individual making the trade.  We can only seek as many opinions as makes sense to us and use the information accordingly.  The mark of a good analysis is without bias.  I examine ever opinion for lack of bias and the reality of the case made by the person doing the analyzing. 

   

It's almost as if they are made intentionally to look like things were done in prison..

Well, if you are in Prison how else would you expect it to appear.  Last I checked he was still locked up at Ft. Dix.  Hey, the guys in prison you have every reason to be suspicious.  just as I am suspicious about all things theological and organized religion. I can however guarantee that Marty is a real person and does exist. 

Now don't get a wadded up just having some fun with ya     

[MetalMeister]

Hahahahahahahahahaha!

When you come to sound explanation of how there are chariot wheels on the sand bar of Gulf of Aquba and encrusted human bones, let me know.  There is nothing theological about the Bible.  Theology is something that scholars come up with to explain their theories about religions.  Theology puts me to sleep.  I am so suspect of almost all organized "religion" it would make your head spin.

Back to Armstrong.

When I examine the congruency of the horizontal lines of type in his columns I find quite a number of inconsistencies.  Look at page 1 last paragraph, right column.  how to explain the difference in height between the lines of type?

Page 2, Homestake chart.  The type at the top is two different sizes.  Can't do that by had that perfectly.

And just where is he getting the numbers for these home drawn charts?  In a prison library??  I don't think so.  Inter-library loans?  To a prison?  Or does he just happen to remember all the data in his head?

Page 3, two VERY tiny long horizontal lines drawn with a ink pen or pencil?  No.  The other pages have thick lines.

Page 7, last paragraph column 1, the line separation width diverges between the last and next to last lines?

Look at page 7.  Why is the 7 for the page number a different font than the 7 in the past paragraph, next to last sentence, of column 2?

Page 8.  How is he doing the inverted "Gold Yearly", white type, black background?

Same chart.  And how does he draw all those background lines in perfect parallel?

Page 9.  Is it just me or, in the reverse negative title block, is the "THE" and the "DYNAMICS OF" on two in-congruent horizontal lines?  And why can't he draw straight lines for the top and bottom borders of that black box?

Page 10, column 2, 3rd paragraph.  Is it my imagination or does the middle "0" in $1000 have shorter height than the other two 0's?

Page 11, column 2, last sentence.  The typewriter, after doing all that column just fine, decides to slip and that last sentence is not even close to being in parallel??

Page 14, column 2, 1st paragraph, 4th line, what happened to the "Clearly," part??  Did the typewriter just slip for these few characters?  And then get back on synch?

Page 13, 2nd column, 1st paragraph, my eyesight must be getting bad because it looks like the capital letters in LIBERTY have differing heights.

Page 13, news clippings.  On the right clipping, why did he just arbitrarily decide to leave in the picture part just right of the news print rather than cutting that out with the scissors?

BUT HERE IS MY REALLY REALLY REALLY REALLY favorite one!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Page three, column 1, 3rd paragraph, "catch-up" compare that to same page, column 2, 1st paragraph, "catch-up".

Anybody see anything REALLY different about those two "-" marks between catch and up???

And what I also really like are the 3, get it 3 different comma types on the same page, column 1, 1st and 2nd paragraphs.

Hoax?

Can anybody spell Photoshop or something else like it?

I think it may be time for me to publish my findings on the Lew Rockwell website and others.

Thoughts?

[sidewinder]

I think you should "Go public" with this as soon a possible.   

[MetalMeister]

Hahahahahahahahahahahaha!

You crack me up!

Come on, what do you think?

It's a fraud.  Has to be.   

[MetalMeister]

Armstrong's latest:

http://www.martinarmstrong.org/files/So%20You%20Thought%20Stocks%20Only%20Go%20Up%20in%20Boom%20Times%2010-31-2010.pdf

[onlooker]

For those who follow Martin Armstrong, according to him, June 2011 is a turning point for the markets.
 

Martin Armstrong says Major Turn at Hand – batten down the hatches, or…

by Martin Armstrong        Friday, 24 April 2009 07:44

A turn date in Martin Armstrong’s Economic Confidence Model passed on April 19th or 20th, depending on how many days you use to calculate a year.  The graphic shows that the model is predicting a top at this turn date before heading down into a long-term low in June 2011.  As Martin explains in the essay below, the model does not necessarily mean that a top in the Dow Industrials is at hand...........


http://jsmineset.com/2009/04/27/martin-armstrong-says-major-turn-at-hand-batten-down-the-hatches-or/

[sidewinder]

By the way Martin has just been released from Federal Prison and is at home.

From his latest entitled "How and When" speaking on gold

“There is a risk that the Middle East may get everyone really excited and we just blast out to the upside.  I warned that there was a possibility of seeing $1700 level by March and a fall back to the $1400-1509 for the June low testing the TOP of the Primary Channel.  The extreme projection for a March high is $1775 but a June high would be $2010.” 

“The two patterns are either we stay in the PRIMARY CHANNEL for right now and test the support at the 1150 or 1250 level at worst, or be blast out the top of this main channel, fall back to find it providing support, and then we will be on our way to at least $5,000 and may be $12,000 by 2015/16.”

[onlooker]

Martin Armstrong has experienced the full range of the spectrum for fame and fortune. 

When he was in prison; he was ditched, passed over by society.

Now that he is out, I would not be surprise if he will again be hounded by hordes of investors looking for his financial services.      

[onlooker]

SW’s quote:

From his latest entitled "How and When" speaking on gold

“There is a risk that the Middle East may get everyone really excited and we just blast out to the upside.  I warned that there was a possibility of seeing $1700 level by March and a fall back to the $1400-1509 for the June low testing the TOP of the Primary Channel.  The extreme projection for a March high is $1775 but a June high would be $2010.” 

“The two patterns are either we stay in the PRIMARY CHANNEL for right now and test the support at the 1150 or 1250 level at worst, or be blast out the top of this main channel, fall back to find it providing support, and then we will be on our way to at least $5,000 and may be $12,000 by 2015/16.”

Finished reading Martin Armstrong’s  "How and When?"   As usual, his article is a real page turner.  Martin states that he will provide an update(s) on gold as we draw closer to the June 2011 turning point.