Tesla: The End

by JDH on March 23, 2019

Okay, perhaps it’s not exactly the end, but what do you see in this chart?

A company on the rise?

I see a company that is going in the wrong direction, fast.  Once Tesla hits $250 per share, which it may do as soon as this week (it’s dropped $10 in the last week), even the Fan Boys will probably realize that the game is up.

It’s over.

They have closed most of their stores, they are looking for “volunteers” to help deliver cars, and the cars don’t work.

Fully autonomous driving is still a dream (just do a search for Tesla crashes to see what I mean).

If you are on Twitter, do a search for the hashtag #TSLAQ and read the story.  (Q is the designation placed after a ticker symbol to indicate insolvency).

I am currently holding May $200 puts, which are obviously well out of the money, but if Tesla keeps losing $10 per week, the end is in sight.  I suspect that the big funds that hold this dog have been quietly liquidating; it will be interesting to see the holdings reports at the end of Q1 to see how much selling has happened.  A quick glance at the chart shows that volume is higher now that it was during the November/December ramp period, so obviously selling is happening.

I’m holding gold, holding pot, and staying the course.  (Unlike a Tesla car on auto pilot).

More next week.

3 Charts

by JDH on March 16, 2019

Let’s start with Tesla, shall we?

Tesla has strong support just above $240, and strong resistance at just under $390.  So, the question is, which resistance level gets tested first?  I’m betting it’s the lower one, and I will not be at all shocked if $240 is broken soon.

If Tesla made gas cars I would say they are leaking oil, but I guess that analogy does not work here.

Neither do their cars.

They made a show of introducing the Model X, which is essentially a PT Cruiser.  The market laughed, and Tesla dropped 5%, the first time a new product announcement was treated with derision.  They have no cash, and they have no factory in which to make this car, and they have closed many of their stores and laid off a big chunk of their workforce.

I’m holding puts, and will continue to do so.

Of more interest to me is TGOD.C – The Green Organic Dutchman, my favorite cannabis stock.

I bought it as a private placement prior to the IPO last year, so I am sitting on a profit.  The stock got way ahead of itself, hitting $10, before crashing to $2.  (My shares were restricted, so I couldn’t sell at the peak).

No worries, it has more than doubled since the start of the year.  It would appear that we are in a consolidation phase now, but I expect that by the end of the spring it will break through $5, and when that happens $10 is the next target.

I’m holding.

Finally, our thoughts turn to gold.

I present for your edification a ten year chart.

We had a great run in 2010 and 2011, followed by a five year bear market.

That happens.

Since the low around $1,050 at the end of 2015 gold has been in a jerky consolidation phase, with $1,400 the next important target.  I assume it will get there this year, but who knows, the consolidation could continue for a while.  We shall see.

I’m holding, having added to my positions during periods of weakness.

My favorite gold holding is EQX.V – Equinox Gold Corp.  It had a long correction period, but that’s over, so I expect to see $2 later this year.

We shall see.

Thanks for reading; more next week.

 

 

Update on Tesla and Pot Stocks

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Tesla – The Bloom is Off the Rose

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Gold, Pot Stocks Looking Good So Far in 2019

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Yes, I realize it’s early here in 2019, but my two biggest sector holdings, gold and pot, are doing great. (Yeah, I know, that’s a low bar, because gold has been in the doldrums for four years, and cannabis stocks got hammered in the fourth quarter, but still). My favorite pot stock, The Green Organic […]

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